# What is Viral Fitness and How is it Measured?

**URL:** https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/t/what-is-viral-fitness-and-how-is-it-measured/12939
**Category:** Conversation
**Tags:** Science
**Created:** [January 3, 2021, 12:14pm UTC](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/t/what-is-viral-fitness-and-how-is-it-measured/12939 "2021-01-03T12:14:10Z")
**Posts on this page:** 20
**Page:** 4

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![Mercer](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/e274bd/32.png) [@Mercer](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/u/Mercer)
#### Post date: [January 6, 2021, 5:45pm UTC](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/t/what-is-viral-fitness-and-how-is-it-measured/12939/63 "2021-01-06T17:45:25Z")

</div>

> [@Giltil](#):
>
> I see a contradiction here. On the one hand, you have stated in this thread that translation selection is basically non-existent in RNA viruses and on the other hand, the quote above indicates a high correlation between human RNA viruses CUB and their host CUB, which is a signature of translational selection!

You might want to pay considerably more attention to the data in the paper than to the text.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![T\_aquaticus](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/flex016/user_avatar/discourse.peacefulscience.org/t_aquaticus/32/1249_2.png) [@T\_aquaticus](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/u/T_aquaticus)
#### Post date: [January 6, 2021, 6:23pm UTC](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/t/what-is-viral-fitness-and-how-is-it-measured/12939/64 "2021-01-06T18:23:24Z")

</div>

> [@swamidass](#):
>
> It’s a seriotype?

[“as far as I know” is implied in all my comments]

Traditionally, I think they are serotypes and serotyping is still used to the best of my knowledge. Serotypes may have been established before sequencing was widely used or available.

Additionally, since influenza viruses recombine you can’t use one or two genes to label a strain or lineage. There can be separate strains and lineages with the H1 and N1 serotypes and genotypes.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![Mercer](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/e274bd/32.png) [@Mercer](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/u/Mercer)
#### Post date: [January 6, 2021, 6:58pm UTC](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/t/what-is-viral-fitness-and-how-is-it-measured/12939/65 "2021-01-06T18:58:03Z")

</div>

> [@swamidass](#):
>
> > [@Mercer](#):
> >
> > H1N1 is not a strain. H1N1 is not a lineage, as they falsely claim.
> 
> It’s a seriotype?

No, the formal term is subtype. IIRC, they were at least initially described serologically, but they may be defined by sequencing now.

Here is a good description:

> **[Types of Influenza Viruses](https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/viruses/types.htm)**
>
> Learn more about the types of influenza viruses that cause seasonal flu illness in humans each year.

> [@T\_aquaticus](#):
>
> Additionally, since influenza viruses recombine you can’t use one or two genes to label a strain or lineage.

I think you mean “reassort,” not “recombine.” I’ve made that error too.

Put another way, H and N only account for two of the genomic segments. Two H1N1 isolates can have their remaining six segments from disparate sources through reassortment. In terms of bases, H and N only account for ~3000 bases of the ~13500-base genome.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![Giltil](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/5f8ce5/32.png) [@Giltil](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/u/Giltil)
#### Post date: [January 6, 2021, 7:27pm UTC](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/t/what-is-viral-fitness-and-how-is-it-measured/12939/66 "2021-01-06T19:27:27Z")

</div>

> [@swamidass](#):
>
> No one has agreed to the loaded language of “eroded”. It was likely DRIFT, which is not maladaptive.

The 1918 version of H1N1 genome presents a duck like CUB (Codon Usage Bias) that is evolving toward randomness over time. IOW, the initial H1N1 CUB did erode other time. I really don’t see why you are complaining about the language of « erode », which perfectly captures what is going on regarding CUB in H1N1. Is reality « loaded »?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![T\_aquaticus](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/flex016/user_avatar/discourse.peacefulscience.org/t_aquaticus/32/1249_2.png) [@T\_aquaticus](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/u/T_aquaticus)
#### Post date: [January 6, 2021, 7:30pm UTC](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/t/what-is-viral-fitness-and-how-is-it-measured/12939/67 "2021-01-06T19:30:12Z")

</div>

> [@Mercer](#):
>
> I think you mean “reassort,” not “recombine.” I’ve made that error too.

Thanks for the correction. That does make more sense when looking at a segmented genome.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![T\_aquaticus](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/flex016/user_avatar/discourse.peacefulscience.org/t_aquaticus/32/1249_2.png) [@T\_aquaticus](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/u/T_aquaticus)
#### Post date: [January 6, 2021, 7:31pm UTC](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/t/what-is-viral-fitness-and-how-is-it-measured/12939/68 "2021-01-06T19:31:48Z")

</div>

> [@Giltil](#):
>
> IOW, the initial H1N1 CUB did erode other time. I really don’t see why you are complaining about the language of « erode », which perfectly captures what is going on regarding CUB in H1N1. Is reality « loaded »?

Erosion means a removal of material which isn’t happening in this case. It is better described as a shift.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![Giltil](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/5f8ce5/32.png) [@Giltil](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/u/Giltil)
#### Post date: [January 6, 2021, 8:04pm UTC](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/t/what-is-viral-fitness-and-how-is-it-measured/12939/69 "2021-01-06T20:04:02Z")

</div>

> [@T\_aquaticus](#):
>
> Erosion means a removal of material which isn’t happening in this case. It is better described as a shift.

No. Your definition of erosion doesn’t capture all the meaning of the word, not at all!

> **[erosion](https://dictionary.cambridge.org/dictionary/english/erosion)**
>
> 1. the fact of soil, stone, etc. being gradually damaged and removed by the…

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![CrisprCAS9](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/flex016/user_avatar/discourse.peacefulscience.org/crisprcas9/32/9145_2.png) [@CrisprCAS9](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/u/CrisprCAS9)
#### Post date: [January 6, 2021, 8:22pm UTC](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/t/what-is-viral-fitness-and-how-is-it-measured/12939/70 "2021-01-06T20:22:22Z")

</div>

> [@Giltil](#):
>
> No. Your definition of erosion doesn’t capture all the meaning of the word, not at all!

From your link, with my emphasis:

> the fact of soil, stone, etc. being gradually damaged **and removed** by the waves, rain, or wind

> the fact of a good quality or situation being gradually **lost or destroyed**

> the weakening or damage done to something by a series of **gradual losses** of parts of it

> the gradual **reduction or destruction** of something

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![Rumraket](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/flex016/user_avatar/discourse.peacefulscience.org/rumraket/32/9328_2.png) [@Rumraket](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/u/Rumraket)
#### Post date: [January 6, 2021, 10:05pm UTC](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/t/what-is-viral-fitness-and-how-is-it-measured/12939/71 "2021-01-06T22:05:46Z")

</div>

Yes in this case the only sensible descriptive word is replacement. One set of codons is being replaced with another. You might say the previous distribution is being “eroded”, _but another one is taking it’s place_, which is then simultaneously being constructed. Hence replacement is the correct word, not erosion.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![Giltil](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/5f8ce5/32.png) [@Giltil](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/u/Giltil)
#### Post date: [January 7, 2021, 12:42pm UTC](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/t/what-is-viral-fitness-and-how-is-it-measured/12939/72 "2021-01-07T12:42:07Z")

</div>

> [@Rumraket](#):
>
> Yes in this case the only sensible descriptive word is replacement. One set of codons is being replaced with another. You might say the previous distribution is being “eroded”, _but another one is taking it’s place_ , which is then simultaneously being constructed. Hence replacement is the correct word, not erosion.

No, erosion is the correct word, for we observe a gradual reduction over time of the initial CUB present in the 1918 version of H1N1. And the gradual reduction or destruction of something (here CUB) is precisely one of the meaning of erosion.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![RonSewell](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/flex016/user_avatar/discourse.peacefulscience.org/ronsewell/32/6194_2.png) [@RonSewell](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/u/RonSewell)
#### Post date: [January 7, 2021, 4:37pm UTC](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/t/what-is-viral-fitness-and-how-is-it-measured/12939/73 "2021-01-07T16:37:08Z")

</div>

> [@Giltil](#):
>
> And the gradual reduction or destruction of something (here CUB) is precisely one of the meaning of erosion.

So if, say, poverty is reduced, it is eroded? I bought some new batteries to erode the ones in my flashlight? That is an odd way of speaking, but in any event, realities do not follow our diction. The codons present in the 1918 virus were themselves the result of the same upstream process of synonymous and non-synonymous mutation as unfolded downstream. Preceding centuries of single point nucleotide mutation, re-assortment, and possible recombination, passing back and forth between host species, crafted the 1918 strain. Prologue is past as well.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![dsterncardinale](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/flex016/user_avatar/discourse.peacefulscience.org/dsterncardinale/32/9144_2.png) [@dsterncardinale](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/u/dsterncardinale)
#### Post date: [January 7, 2021, 4:37pm UTC](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/t/what-is-viral-fitness-and-how-is-it-measured/12939/74 "2021-01-07T16:37:23Z")

</div>

Can you explain why this matters, at all? Recall that C and S are making a very specific claim: the change in codon bias is deleterious, i.e. has a fitness cost, and they provided precisely zero evidence even implying that this is the case.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![Giltil](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/5f8ce5/32.png) [@Giltil](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/u/Giltil)
#### Post date: [January 7, 2021, 6:05pm UTC](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/t/what-is-viral-fitness-and-how-is-it-measured/12939/75 "2021-01-07T18:05:11Z")

</div>

It matters because in the case where CUBs cannot be explained by genomic base compositions, then they very likely have function. So the erosion of these CUBs over time is also very likely to affect their functions.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![dsterncardinale](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/flex016/user_avatar/discourse.peacefulscience.org/dsterncardinale/32/9144_2.png) [@dsterncardinale](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/u/dsterncardinale)
#### Post date: [January 7, 2021, 8:06pm UTC](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/t/what-is-viral-fitness-and-how-is-it-measured/12939/76 "2021-01-07T20:06:47Z")

</div>

…So it just…doesn’t matter that about half the changes they documented are, in the context of humans, unquestionably beneficial, given how the human immune system detects CpG dinucleotides? You can’t just assert a set of changes are harmful 1) with no evidence and 2) outside of the context in which they occur.

And, just to tie this up neatly:

> where CUBs cannot be explained by genomic base compositions, then they very likely have function.

This is _absolutely_, _100%_ not true. There are a _ton_ of other explanations for codon bias beyond base composition and translational selection. That’s _the point_ of that paper I referenced earlier. Biased mutation rates. Host-specific selection _other than_ translational selection. Biased DNA repair and/or gene conversion. Enzymatic degradation. All cause codon bias. None “have a function” in the virus.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![Rumraket](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/flex016/user_avatar/discourse.peacefulscience.org/rumraket/32/9328_2.png) [@Rumraket](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/u/Rumraket)
#### Post date: [January 7, 2021, 8:52pm UTC](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/t/what-is-viral-fitness-and-how-is-it-measured/12939/77 "2021-01-07T20:52:14Z")

</div>

This focus on the “decay” rhetoric is diagnostic of creationism, and prototypical for a movement in direct conflict with observational reality.

That’s why they obsess so much about terms like “entropy”, “devolution”, “rust”, and “erosion” and various analogies that appeal to such processes. It’s all they have.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![Giltil](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/5f8ce5/32.png) [@Giltil](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/u/Giltil)
#### Post date: [January 8, 2021, 9:49am UTC](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/t/what-is-viral-fitness-and-how-is-it-measured/12939/78 "2021-01-08T09:49:48Z")

</div>

> [@RonSewell](#):
>
> > [@Giltil](#):
> >
> > And the gradual reduction or destruction of something (here CUB) is precisely one of the meaning of erosion.
> 
> So if, say, poverty is reduced, it is eroded?

No, that would be a very awkward use of the word. But note that it would be perfectly correct to say that if wealth is gradually reduced, it is eroded.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![Giltil](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/5f8ce5/32.png) [@Giltil](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/u/Giltil)
#### Post date: [January 8, 2021, 12:59pm UTC](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/t/what-is-viral-fitness-and-how-is-it-measured/12939/79 "2021-01-08T12:59:41Z")

</div>

> [@dsterncardinale](#):
>
> My favorite thing about that figure, as astute readers will note, is that human H1N1 is nowhere to be found. C and S tally up mutations across multiple lineages _as though they’re a single lineage_

This is completely wrong, for C and S used the 2009 pandemic strain as a reference genome ONLY for assessing mutation accumulation in this very lineage, not the human lineage. IOW, contrary to what you say, they are not guilty of lumping these two lineages, not at all. For interested readers, I invite them to have a look at point 6 of the piece below where Carter responds to @dsterncardinale’s critics regarding C and S’s research on H1N1.

> **[Responding to supposed refutations of Genetic Entropy](https://creation.com/genetic-entropy-defense)**
>
> Paul Price, Dr Robert Carter and Dr John Sanford respond to evolutionist scientists regarding Genetic Entropy.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![dsterncardinale](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/flex016/user_avatar/discourse.peacefulscience.org/dsterncardinale/32/9144_2.png) [@dsterncardinale](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/u/dsterncardinale)
#### Post date: [January 8, 2021, 3:47pm UTC](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/t/what-is-viral-fitness-and-how-is-it-measured/12939/80 "2021-01-08T15:47:36Z")

</div>

I’ve responded to that piece [at length](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/t/stern-cardinale-response-to-price-carter-and-sanford-on-genetic-entropy/12773). Short version: I’m right and they’re wrong. One of the parts of the H1N1 paper I quoted above, which I will repeat below, bears out my criticism:

> [@dsterncardinale](#):
>
> Regardless, general attenuation due to genome-wide mutation accumulation might best explain the very low mortality [54] associated with the 2009 pandemic. **The earliest 2009 outbreak strain had already accumulated 1,889 mutations compared to the 1918 strain**.

Emphasis mine. They’re counting it as a single lineage.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![RonSewell](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/flex016/user_avatar/discourse.peacefulscience.org/ronsewell/32/6194_2.png) [@RonSewell](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/u/RonSewell)
#### Post date: [January 8, 2021, 8:42pm UTC](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/t/what-is-viral-fitness-and-how-is-it-measured/12939/81 "2021-01-08T20:42:03Z")

</div>

> [@Giltil](#):
>
> The 1918 version of H1N1 genome presents a duck like CUB (Codon Usage Bias) that is evolving toward randomness over time.

A duck like viral genome managed to “randomly” evolve to infect humans and facilitate human to human transmission. In what way is that erosion?

The hemagglutinin head evolves faster than the stalk. There is more variation in the hemagglutinin stalk than transcription DNA. That is not loss of function, that is the virus adapting the function under immunological pressure and other host defenses, variation of the target sialic acid receptors, body temperature and serum pH across species, vaccination in human and food production, co-evolution of neuraminidase, and the progression of epidemics. There is positive selection. Mutation is random, but viral isolates do not display some overall trend of erosion.

Descendants of the 1918 strain, which is itself the product of mutation, continue to infect tens of millions of people and animals each year, despite immunologically resistant populations and vaccination programs. That is by definition a successful, adaptive virus.

Influenza is pervasive throughout the animal kingdom, and in keeping with this the virus exhibits both extensive genetic diversity and mixing by re-assortment. It has been around a very long time.

> it is notable that Wenling hagfish virus, from a jawless vertebrate (a hagfish), occupies the basal position in all of the vertebrate influenza virus, again suggesting that these viruses have been in existence for hundreds of millions of years.  
> [Divergent Influenza-Like Viruses of Amphibians and Fish Support an Ancient Evolutionary Association](https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7551885/)

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![Giltil](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/5f8ce5/32.png) [@Giltil](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/u/Giltil)
#### Post date: [January 10, 2021, 4:15pm UTC](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/t/what-is-viral-fitness-and-how-is-it-measured/12939/82 "2021-01-10T16:15:36Z")

</div>

> [@RonSewell](#):
>
> Influenza is pervasive throughout the animal kingdom, and in keeping with this the virus exhibits both extensive genetic diversity and mixing by re-assortment. It has been around a very long time.
> 
> > it is notable that Wenling hagfish virus, from a jawless vertebrate (a hagfish), occupies the basal position in all of the vertebrate influenza virus, again suggesting that these viruses have been in existence for hundreds of millions of years.  
> > [Divergent Influenza-Like Viruses of Amphibians and Fish Support an Ancient Evolutionary Association](https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7551885/)

If it is the case that Influenza has been around a very long time, then you probably have a problem because long time is not what molecular clock estimates tell us about RNA virus origins. Interestingly, in the paper below, Holmes suggests that a way to reconcile deep time and molecular clock data is _« if RNA viruses differ dramatically in replication rate or have experienced periods when replication was either **latent or extremely slow,** then this would reduce substitution rates in the long run and would correspondingly extend divergence times_ ». We have here a possible explanation of why genetic entropy of RNA viruses may be much slower in some of their natural reservoirs than during outbreaks in other host species. Here is another quote from the same paper still more explicit: _« Although synonymous substitution rates in influenza A viruses from aquatic birds, horses, pigs, and humans vary no more than is usual among RNA viruses, the nonsynonymous rate is greatly reduced for the avian viruses compared to that seen for human viruses. This supports a model in which there has been a substantial rate acceleration coinciding with the species jump from birds, in which influenza A virus persistently replicates in the gastrointestinal tract and is asymptomatic, to humans, in which it replicates in the respiratory tract, causes regular epidemics, and is subject to strong immune selection pressure »_  
[https://jvi.asm.org/content/77/7/3893](https://jvi.asm.org/content/77/7/3893)

[Previous page](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/t/what-is-viral-fitness-and-how-is-it-measured/12939.md?page=3)

[Next page](https://discourse.peacefulscience.org/t/what-is-viral-fitness-and-how-is-it-measured/12939.md?page=5)
