Discussing the Lab Leak claim with Jon Perry

[quote=“Giltil, post:59, topic:17260”]
Animals in animal trade networks are shipped around in a highly connected network, and so a virus from an animal in one market can plausibly find its way to animals in another market.
[/quote] …

So that is interesting, but it assumes that random things should happen about the same way twice. In the case of CoV-1, it looks like the infected animal(s) were traded a lot – so held in one market, moved to a different one, etc., over an extended time and over an extended range. But are animals in this system always traded a lot and transported over some range? We don’t know. And the infected animal(s) in the Wuhan market could have been collected nearby, and after all hell broke loose they of course were purged. Infections are highly stochastic. Hit or miss.

So I don’t see that this interpretation has much weight, given that we don’t know the consistency of the animal trade.

And we are still waiting for dispositive evidence for a lab leak.

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