Explaining the Cancer Information Calculation

[Roy (34-year veteran)]

@ETVB

@Dan_Eastwood

This argument is often brought up, so I’ll offer the short version of the rebuttal. If you name a specific event which has a probability on the order of 10^-150 and then sit around waiting for it to happen, I agree you will never see it. That doesn’t not mean events of this magnitude never happen. They are happening all around us all the time, but no one predicted them, and most are not particularly notable, so they pass unnoticed.

But aren’t we talking about specific events? The origin of life requires very specific things to happen in order for the first cell to appear.

What specific things are those?

I don’t think you’ll be able to say, because that would require knowing the specific events that actually happened, whether naturally or not.