Rumraket
February 17, 2019, 11:52pm
20
T.j_Runyon:
An argument from Vox Day. @T_aquaticus @evograd @davecarlson @John_Harshman @swamidass maybe you’d like a crack at it
There are 40 million base DNA pair differences between humans and Chimpanzees.
The average evolutionary time frame for the divergence between humans and chimps is 9,000,000 years ago.
Ok so a human and a chimp generation are both considered 20 years.
If for the sake of simplicity we split the differences equally, 20 Million between each.
Then 9,000,000 years divided by 20 is 450,000 thousand generations. For which those 20,000,000 base pairs had to evolve for each species.
20,0000,000 ÷ 450,000 is 44.
That means there are on average 44 fixed mutations in each generation. Putting aside how unlikely 44 fixed mutations per generation is, we have a model to falsify evolution.
This is because at this rate it is happening it is fast enough for us to measure it. All you need to do is get the DNA from a Mummy from 5000 years ago, the DNA from Roman 2000 thousand years ago and compare it to the DNA of a modern person and see if the genetic mutations and differences in the base pairs match this average rate of 44 per generation. With the gene sequencing tech that we have today. You can actually measure the genetics to see if the evolutionary model is correct in it’s time frames and that these changes are happening.
This means evolution, as an encompassing theory explaining the common descent of all creatures is now falsifiable, all you need is to to the sequencing.
This question is exactly why the simulation example I spoke about in another thread would be instructive. People have a hard time picturing the continued fixation of neutral mutations, or how it can be the case that the rate of fixation of neutral mutations is actaully equal to the rate of mutation.
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