"I'm treating the mutation rate as a substitution rate" - Dr. Nathaniel Jeanson

Good thing I buy irony meters in bulk.

You make a vague claim about the 3rd item being a bald assertion, and then pretend as if a nested hierarchy is vague.

What is vague about a nested hierarchy? It is a very, very specific distribution of characteristics. There is nothing vague about it.

We can add “argument from authority” to the lists of concepts you don’t understand.

What is non detailed about a nested hierarchy?

Here you go:

  1. You point to an an adaptation that requires 2 or more muations.
  2. You calculate the probability of those specific mutations accumulating over time.
  3. You cite the high improbability of those specific mutations accumulating over time as evidence against evolution.

That is the Sharpshooter fallacy because it paints a bulls eye around the adaptation that did occur. What the probability ignores is all of the possible mutations that could have occurred that would also have resulted in a beneficial adaptation.

What is so hard to understand?

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