Occasionally, mention is made by participants on PS of the notion that strings of seemingly improbable events are evidence for design in nature. Along these lines, I submit the following list. In the spirit of this most wonderful time of year (COVID-19 be darned), enjoy!
Oral Roberts University
University of North Texas
Abilene Christian University
Ohio University (NOT The Ohio State University)
For good measure, the rest of the double digit seeds that advanced:
University of Maryland
UCLA
Syracuse
Rutgers
Oregon State University
In case anyone reads this and cares, I believe this year ends with the exorcism of the ghost of Jim Valvano. (Putting myself out on a limb, and undoubtedly jinxing at least one team. More evidence for the supernatural, I suppose.)
Art is referring to some of the college basketball teams that have âbeaten the oddsâ and defeated a heavily-favored opponent. Honestly, the odds are so low, that I refuse to believe any such thing could have happened without divine intervention. I call this âIntelligent Bracketingâ.
PS - Art did not mention that Kentucky did not make it to the NCAA Championship Tournament this year!
There are 63 games in total, and there are 2 possible outcomes for each one. Therefore, the probability of this yearâs bracket coming out exactly as we see it is 1 in 2^63, or 1 in 9,223,372,036,854,775,808. Obviously, to get the outcome we see it would require intelligent design because randomness couldnât produce something that unlikely.
When âdesignâ regarding nature is discussed, I am reminded of this study entitled âThe Human Function Compunction: Teleological explanation in adultsâ
Adults, of course, do not show much overt sign of sharing childrenâs beliefs about the intrinsic functionality of icebergs or a rockâs sharp edges. Presumably then, children readily outgrow such fanciful purpose-based ideas, espeïżŸcially as their familiarity with ultimate causal explanations increases. Indeed, research with college-educated adults seems to support this trajectory. When tested on child appropriate tasks, they eschew childrenâs broad teleological endorsements, restricting functional ascriptions to body parts and artifacts (Kelemen, 1999a; Kelemen, 1999b; Kelemen, 2003).
Despite this, however, recent findings hint that ââpromiscuous teleologyâ may not be a passing stage of immaturity. For instance, research using child-assessment materials that compared Alzheimerâs patients to healthy controls found that teleological intuitions reassert themselves when the coherence of causal knowledge is eroded by disease (Lombrozo, Kelemen, & Zaitchik, 2007). This raises the possibility that rather than being part of a childïżŸhood stage, teleological explanation remains an explanatory default throughout development. That is, while the acquisition of scientifically warranted causal explanations might suppress teleological ideas, it does not replace them. This ââco-existenceâ position makes a prediction: Even
healthy, schooled adults should display scientifically unwarranted promiscuous teleological intuitions when their capacity to inhibit more primary purpose-based intuitions is impaired by processing demands. To test this, we asked undergraduates to judge the correctness of warranted and unwarranted explanations of various natural phenomena under speeded conditions.
Loyola. Oral Roberts. Baylor. Gonzaga. Might not such a large contingent of Christian schools be yet more evidence of this âIntelligent Bracketingâ?
Hmm⊠Baylor⊠I wonder if Scott Drew consults with Robert Marks when scheming the BU game plan. Maybe another inroad of ID here?