colewd
June 12, 2020, 7:38pm
55
Dan_Eastwood:
If we apply Dembski’s methods to common occurences, and take into account the entire event history leading up to the occurence, the probability of any event will exceed the “Universal Probability Bound”. It’s just a matter of taking a sufficiently long and detailed history into account until the multiplicative probability is close to zero. If I wished, I could show the impossibility of my having cantaloupe for breakfast this morning this way (but I did!)
The argument is not about the probability it is about if the mechanism identified is likely capable of doing the job that it is predicted to have done.