Genetic Entropy will be debated once again - May 13 on Standing For Truth

Hi @jeffb , I wondered if you might show up. :wink:

We are well aware of the difference, and there are numerous textbooks on the subject of “experimental design”. The difference is usually described in terms of observational and prospective data/experiments. Prospective data is the Gold Standard when you can get it, and that’s why we do clinical trials for new medical treatments (and new treatment don’t have any history to observe). You CAN do experiment using historical/observational data too, but it looks different.

The discovery of Tiktaalik, is one such example. I’ve think I’ve shown you this before so I we be brief: Neil Shubin and his team noted a gap is the fossil record between fish and land walking tetrapods (four-legged critters). They hypothesized that such a creature should have existed, and that fossils showing transitional features might be found (prediction). They consulted geological record (independent data) for locations where such fossils could exist (ancient tidal marches), and organized an expedition to go fossil hunting. He found the fossil Tiktaalik we now know as Tiktaalik, confirming the prediction.

This is an example of abductive inference in Paleontology. The experiment is repeatable, looking for similar fossils in other locations. So no, no one is denying a difference, the objection is to the claim that you cannot do real science with historical data.

2 Likes

Not familiar with this concept. Where was it published? How would you test it, and has anyone tried to?

Many, many questions arise. Now, if there were “mother forms”, wouldn’t we be able to see them and recognize them? Wouldn’t they be spitting out new species regularly, and wouldn’t their genomes show up as ancestral to all their descendant species? (On a tree this would result in a zero-length branch for the mother form and a star phylogeny among all its descendants.) Why has no such species been found out of all those studied? And why are so many known species present in the fossil record, lasting for millions of years in most cases? Finally, how would mother forms be protected from GE? (For that matter, what makes you think that stem cells have a lower mutation rate than other somatic cells?)

2 Likes

The creationist response to that paper (the published version with Baum as the lead author, anyway) via Rob Stadler and separately via Sal Cordova is “no extant pattern of similarity precludes separate ancestry because God could have made things look any which way”. Which
fine, but now we’re playing Calvinball and your model, if it could be called that, is unfalsifiable and certainly can’t be called a “model” in any sense at that point.

1 Like

Sal is claiming a deceptive God? I thought he knew better, but then he does tend to get stuck on bad ideas.

So we are meant to speculate:

  1. That these "mother form"s exist? (Where?)

  2. That they have DNA?

  3. That they reproduce (where?) (or are they immortal)?

  4. Per your final sentence, that for some completely unexplained, yet also ludicrously convenient ‘reason’ they, out of all living things, are not subject to GE?

  5. But by some inexplicable contradiction to (4), they are meant to simultaneously be the progenitors of variant (i.e. mutated) forms that are subject to GE.

It would seem that we should only see "mother form"s – as, by (4), they are incapable of mutating into something else (and particularly something imperfect). That all we see is these ‘something elses’ would seem to demonstrate that this hypothesis is ludicrously internally inconsistent.

This would in fact seem to be a perfect exemplar of the absurdity at the heart of all Creationist theorising.

@Giltil,
While I suspect this idea isn’t going to work out, I appreciate that Grasse has attempted to write down a plausible alternative. It’s the right way to go about presenting ideas. Thanks for sharing.

Simple answer: no. It’s a distinction used solely by creationists to avoid dealing with any study of the past.

Calling that a journal article is a stretch, as is calling the “Journal of Creation” a journal. Also, while “historical science” is a term long in common use, “operational science” is not. And the only distinction between historical and other science is in the questions asked of the data, not in methods.

Can they? Go for it. What is the difference?

1 Like

That also demands that God is purposely trying to deceive us by fudging data.

2 Likes

If I can tag-on here - Is the “prospective and observational data” as I described just above different from “historical and operational science”?

From what I can tell, “operational” means nearly the same thing as “prospective”. And as far as “historical” goes, there are textbooks on the analysis of observational data, so it’s pretty hard to make the claim that scientists “do not see the difference.”

I can see how someone not working in science might not understand how the scientific method applies to both.

Evidence is not neutral and interpreted according to one’s presuppositions as YEC likes to assert. Presuppositions do not interpret evidence, the evidence adjudicates the presuppositions. As creationists subscribe to articles of faith such as “no apparent, perceived, or claimed evidence in any field of study, including science, history, and chronology, can be valid if it contradicts the clear teaching of Scripture obtained by historical-grammatical interpretation”, it is clear that YEC is concerned with theology and not the weight of evidence. YEC are evidence-deniers, broadly dismissing scientific data both operational and historical.

All science, including research into the past, is characterized by careful measurement, often with instrumentation of incredible precision. Science cannot be self-contradictory, the picture of the past must be coherent with the data as a whole. Science, including in regards to the past, is generalized from principles and data established by experimentation and direct observation. YEC wave away the value of operational science for understanding the past by invoking the anachronistic term uniformitarianism, and then nonchalantly substitute fabrications which are completely devoid of experimental support. So do not tell that creationists actually value operational science. There is no real curiosity, it is all about denying the ancient earth.

2 Likes

I for one don’t know what prospective data are and how they would differ from observational data. Or how Tiktaalik relates.

Would someone do the courtesy of providing a citation?

There are innumerable theists who agree with the “naturalists” here. The basic methods of science all depend on inference and comparing observed data to model predictions.

The distinction you should be making here isn’t between naturalists and non-naturalists, but YEC vs everyone else. The only people who obsess about the “historical” vs “operational” science distinction are YEC who desire to undermine confidence in inferences supporting deep time.

It’s also blatantly hypocritical since YEC haven’t seen any of the things they believe and none of it can be tested or repeated. The great flood, the divine creation of the universe, life on Earth, man and woman. None of it can be tested operationally or observed.

So this isn’t going to fly Jeff.

1 Like

I hadn’t heard of him either.

From Wiki:

He was an expert on termites who rejected Neo-Darwinism and was a proponent of Neo-Lamarckism.

AI summary which I didn’t ask for but got anyway.

What does “tested operationally” mean?