Multiplying Probabilities

[Mercer (John Mercer)]

@colewd

Your calculations and his statements both appear to be correct.

How can that be, Bill?

@Dan_Eastwood

This simple multiplication is not a valid probability calculation. It’s actually the number of times we expect X to have occurred in N trials.

That seems obvious to me, even without the algebra. It directly contradicts @gpuccio’s claim, which Bill is claiming to be correct.