I run a small manufacturing firm. We import goods from a few countries, and we export our goods all over the world. Canada, not surprisingly, is our largest export market, but we also move a lot of goods into the UK and the EU.
As a domestic employer of manufacturing workers, I can tell you that the advent of a trade war is absolutely the worst possible thing to happen to companies like ours. This would destroy quite a lot of American companies’ ability to do export business, even if the only factor were the tariffs (which increase our cost of materials, result in retaliatory tariffs which make our goods uncompetitive in other countries, and depress spending power on the part of domestic consumers of our goods, all at the same time). But the tariffs are only the beginning.
The hostility of the United States to its allies, and the constant intentional offense caused to other nations, is burning up our goodwill with export customers. Canadians have been letting us know that, while they know we’re not responsible for it, they will be buying nothing from us for the foreseeable future. Every time the orange shitgibbon suggests that Canada is or should be the 51st state, Canadians are more deeply offended – and more worried that this incoherent, unstable friend of Putin is likely to do something quite insane. The other day the press secretary said in response to remarks of a French politician that the French should remember that they’d all be speaking German if it weren’t for us. Otto from A Fish Called Wanda is our press secretary.
Now, the French know not to make too much of a joke, even one as offensive as that, if it were only an isolated joke. But our increasing hostility toward the entire free world is causing France, together with the rest of Europe, to see that it is truly unable to rely on us in any sense. With Vlad looking to expand, that puts us all in danger of World War III.
As an export business working in a country with a horrifically unstable trade policy on which nobody can safely rely, which is pushing as hard as it can to piss off everyone in our largest export makets, we are looking at a calamity of epic proportions. Stagflation is the least of our worries as this country is humiliated in front of the entire world.
And so, again: to mistake these bizarre conditions for the ordinary back-and-forth of conventional domestic politics is a grave error. Nothing is normal about this, and nothing is safe or stable about it, either. The impact on our economy is likely to be devastating, and is the least of our worries.
Turn the clock back thirty years, and you’d have a hard time finding anyone in either party who would endorse the monstrous things that now happen daily. But the halfwitted thugs who invaded the Capitol on January 6 were, it is now clear, only the advance patrol of a large and dangerous wave of halfwittery that threatens to undo everything the United States has meant to the world.