Prior Probability of the Resurrection is Zero?

[Michael_Callen (Herculean Skeptic)]

@swamidass

You would be wrong, as shown by the lottery example.

Are you saying that “extremely improbable events are inevitable” or “it is inevitable that even extremely improbable events will sometimes occur?”

It is much more than this. What he is explaining is that just about every event is astoundingly improbable in forward calculation of probabilities. Emphasizing the profound improbability of an event seems to be a good argument against it, but this is an absurd argument. It can be used to argue against any event, including events that we see happening all the time.

It seems that discussions over probability vs. improbability swing madly from one end of the continuum to the other based upon the topic being discussed. Am I imagining this or not?

We all seem to defend the improbable events in which we believe as probable, and scoff at the others.