I’ve been seeing on facebook an argument that COVID-19 is overblown because deaths attributable to other causes are being falsely called COVID deaths. That is an important hypothesis to test.
The way to test it is by looking at the total deaths, not just those attributable to COVID. Look what is happening in NY. The monthly death rate is FOUR TIMES higher than it usually is:
We see the same pattern in other countries.
If it isn’t COVID-19 killing everyone, something else is, and we would be in in serious trouble because scientists are misdirecting all this effort at the wrong pathogen.
These numbers undermine the notion that many people who have died from the virus may soon have died anyway. In Paris, more than twice the usual number of people have died each day, far more than the peak of a bad flu season. In New York City, the number is now four times the normal amount.
The key point here, also, is that many of these deaths (probably more than 36,000) are NOT in the COVID death totals.
In the last month, far more people died in these countries than in previous years, The New York Times found. The totals include deaths from Covid-19 as well as those from other causes, likely including people who could not be treated as hospitals became overwhelmed.
The actually death toll is going to be painfully high. It is hard to express the degree of disruption this is causing to healthcare across the country. Anyone who needs a hospital to stay alive for any reason is at serious risk.