A great post from @pevaquark:
If you never doubt yourself and your conclusions, then you could never change your mind. And geez, I have changed my mind on various topics more times than I’d care to admit. The type of thinking that is actually dangerous is the opposite of what you do. That is, well how most people stop at the first peak of the Dunning-Kreuger effect:
Dunning-Kreuger is a cognitive bias that seems to be rampant in these conversations, often expressed as anti-establishment thinking.
I think this a really important phenomenon for us to understand, and learn how to navigate. It leads to very difficult challenge. Those most incompetent have the most difficult time seeing their own lack of competence.
How Do We Respond?
How do we recognize in ourselves when we are far more incompetent that we think we are? We would not have the competence to accuracy self-assess, so how could we find out?
How do we engage with others with wildly inflated confidence in their own competence, that is really just evidence of their incompetence?
Is there a way out of this puzzle or not?